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2024.
"Destruction from Above: Long-Term Impacts of WWII Tokyo Air Raids" Journal of Politics 86(2): 782–797. (with Masataka Harada and Daniel M. Smith)
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2023.
"Making Sense of Violence in Semi-Technologized Conventional Civil War: Evidence from Nineteenth-Century Japan."
International Interactions49(3): 401-423 (With Yuichi Kubota and Masataka Harada).
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2021.
"Why Does Ethnic Partition Foster Violence? Unpacking the Deep Historical Roots of Civil Conflicts."
Journal of Peace Research 58(5): 986-1003.
Winner:
The Journal of Peace Research Best Visualization Award 2021
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2020.
"Battle Diffusion Matters: Examining the Impact of Microdynamics of Fighting on Conflict Termination."
Journal of Conflict Resolution 64(5): 871-902 (with Kaisa Hinkkainen Elliott)
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2016. 「内戦における暴力行使の帰結:空間計量経済/統計モデルによるアプローチ」
『レヴァイアサン』第59号: 131-169頁 (in Japanese)
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2015.
"From KISS to TASS Modeling: A Preliminary Analysis of the Segregation Model Incorporated with Spatial Data on Chicago."
Japanese Journal of Political Science 16(4): 553-573 (with Susumu Yamakage)
- 2015.「2つの集計化と非集計化:内戦研究の微視的転回,その含意と課題」『国際関係論研究』第31号: 73-99頁 (in Japanese)
- 2013.「国際関係論におけるシミュレーション技法の展開:理論研究と実証研究の架橋」『国際関係論研究』第30号: 43-63頁 (in Japanese)
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"On the Persistent Effects of the Slave Trade on Postcolonial Politics in Africa."
Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3714585
and
here. Under Review
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"Using Cell-phone Mobility Data to Study Voter Turnout."
(with Masataka Harada and Daniel M. Smith)
Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4205273
. Under Review
- "Not Gone with the Wind: The Long-Run Impact of Herbicidal Warfare in Vietnam." (with Duc Tran and Yuichiro Yoshida)
Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4512129
and
here.
- "Escalation with Relocation: Unpacking the Local Geography of Aid and Battle Intensity in Civil Conflicts." Under Review. Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3555769
- "Inherited Destruction: Legacies of the Slave Trade on Deforestation in Africa." (with Shinji Kaneko and Chui Ying Lee)
- "How Peacekeeping Spreads Peace: Spatial Effects of Peacekeeping on Violence" (with Jun Koga Sudduth)
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"Modeling the Determinants of Insurgent Violence in Afghanistan." Revise and Resubmit,
Journal of Peace Research (Dissertation Chapter)
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"How Do You Strike Me? Decomposing the Determinants of Selective and Indiscriminate Violence in Civil Conflicts."
(Dissertation Chapter)
Selected Ongoing Projects
Manuscripts to be posted
- "How Agriculture Shapes Population Growth: Evidence from Manchuria in the Early Twentieth Century"
- "Railway Construction and Urbanization: Evidence from the Expansion of the South Manchuria Railways."
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2021 (in Japanese). 「国際制度としての国境の計量分析:国境画定がもたらす民族紛争への影響」鈴木基史・飯田敬輔編著『国際関係研究の方法』東京大学出版会,第6章.Link to Amazon.co.jp
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2021. "On the Electoral Consequences of Increasing Chinese Imports: Insights from the Japanese Lower House General Elections, 2009-2017." In Jun Ma and Masashi Yamamoto (eds.), Growth Mechanism and Sustainability: An Economic Analysis of the Steel Industry in East Asia. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, Chapter 11. Link to Amazon.co.jp
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2018. 「国際貿易の実証分析:データセットと推定法」馬駿ほか編著『東アジアの森林・木材資源の持続的利用:経済学のアプローチ』農林統計協会,第11章 (in Japanese).
Link to Amazon.co.jp
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2014. 「拡大と疲弊の相互作用が生む戦争規模の法則性」山影進編著『アナーキーな社会の混沌と秩序』書籍工房早山,第7章 (in Japanese).
Link to Amazon.co.jp
Non-Peer-Reviewed Articles
Some more earlier works
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2022.「政治的暴力はその後の社会にどのような影響を及ぼすのか?」『経済セミナー』(特集 いま,政治の問題を考える)728号(2022年10・11月号)
Link to Amazon.co.jp
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2018.
「実証的シミュレーションの『作法』:現実との接合と説明力の検証」Aoyama Journal of International Studies No.5: 247-267
(共著・山影進, in Japanese)
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2016.
「社会科学における実証的シミュレーション:シェリングの分居モデルの拡張と空間データとの接合例」『青山国際政経論集』第96号: 101-124
(共著・山影進, in Japanese)
-
2015.
"The Insurgent Disease? Simulating the Geography of Insurgent Violence." Working Paper Series: Study on Artificial Societies, No.48
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2014.
「『拡大と疲弊の相互作用が生む戦争規模の法則性』補遺」ワーキングペーパーシリーズ人工社会研究 No.45
(in Japanese)
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2020-2024. Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (Type B, 基盤B), the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS), Grant Number: 20H01466, 16,250,000 JPY
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2018-2021. Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (Type C, 基盤C特設分野研究), the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS), Grant Number: 18KT0054, 4,290,000 JPY
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2017-2020. Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (Type B, 若手B), the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS), Grant Number: 17K13686, 4,160,000 JPY
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2016-2018. Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-Up, the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS), Grant Number: 16H06819, 2,990,000 JPY
- 2015-2016. The Konosuke Matsushita Memorial Foundation, 500,000 JPY